

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 56.64%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 22.4% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.76%) and 0-1 (7.45%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | PSV Eindhoven | 
| 22.4% ( | 20.96% ( | 56.64% ( | 
| Both teams to score 62.4% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 64.69% ( | 35.31% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 42.66% ( | 57.33% ( | 
| RKC Waalwijk Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.27% ( | 28.73% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.43% ( | 64.56% ( | 
| PSV Eindhoven Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 87.56% ( | 12.44% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.64% ( | 38.36% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | PSV Eindhoven | 
| 2-1 @ 5.79% ( 1-0 @ 4.46% ( 2-0 @ 2.78% ( 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 3-1 @ 2.41% ( 3-0 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 3.3% Total : 22.4%  | 1-1 @ 9.29% ( 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0-0 @ 3.57% ( 3-3 @ 1.74% ( Other @ 0.31% Total : 20.96%  | 1-2 @ 9.68% ( 0-2 @ 7.76% ( 0-1 @ 7.45% ( 1-3 @ 6.73% ( 0-3 @ 5.39% ( 2-3 @ 4.2% ( 1-4 @ 3.51% ( 0-4 @ 2.81% ( 2-4 @ 2.19% ( 1-5 @ 1.46% ( 0-5 @ 1.17% ( 2-5 @ 0.91% ( 3-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.47% Total : 56.64%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 53 | 18 | 35 | 63 | 
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 55 | 
| 3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 49 | 
| 4 | FC Twente | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 46 | 
| 5 | Feyenoord | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 44 | 
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 43 | 
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 41 | 
| 8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 32 | 
| 9 | Heerenveen | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 30 | 
| 10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 29 | 
| 11 | Groningen | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 28 | 
| 12 | Heracles | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 27 | 
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 26 | 
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 25 | 
| 15 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 | 
| 16 | Willem II | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 24 | 
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 17 | 
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 15 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
