

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 66.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 13.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for an Annan Athletic win it was 0-1 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Annan Athletic | 
| 66.21% ( | 20.09% ( | 13.7% ( | 
| Both teams to score 47.8% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 53.85% ( | 46.15% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 31.55% ( | 68.45% ( | 
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 86.94% ( | 13.06% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.35% ( | 39.64% ( | 
| Annan Athletic Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 54.98% ( | 45.02% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.05% ( | 80.95% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle | Draw | Annan Athletic | 
| 2-0 @ 12.18% ( 1-0 @ 11.97% ( 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 3-0 @ 8.27% ( 3-1 @ 6.6% ( 4-0 @ 4.21% ( 4-1 @ 3.36% ( 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 5-0 @ 1.71% ( 5-1 @ 1.37% ( 4-2 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 2.86% Total : 66.21%  | 1-1 @ 9.55% ( 0-0 @ 5.88% ( 2-2 @ 3.88% ( Other @ 0.78% Total : 20.09%  | 0-1 @ 4.69% ( 1-2 @ 3.81% ( 0-2 @ 1.87% ( 2-3 @ 1.03% ( 1-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 1.28% Total : 13.7%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arbroath | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 | 
| 2 | Cove Rangers | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 40 | 16 | 53 | 
| 3 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 43 | 40 | 3 | 51 | 
| 4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 | 
| 5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 48 | 
| 6 | Montrose | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 40 | 
| 7 | Kelty Hearts | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 | 
| 8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 37 | 
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 36 | 
| 10 | Dumbarton | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 63 | -16 | 17 | 
| > Scottish League One Full Table | |||||||||
