Brasileiro | Gameweek 5
Apr 20, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Sao Paulo2 - 1Santos
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Santos.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Botafogo 2-2 Sao Paulo
Wednesday, April 16 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Wednesday, April 16 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
3
Last Game: Santos 2-0 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, April 17 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Thursday, April 17 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
5
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 53.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Santos had a probability of 20.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Santos |
53.54% ( 0.44) | 25.63% ( 0.01) | 20.83% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 45.29% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
