Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 9
Jun 1, 2025 at 2pm UK
Mustapekka Areena

Gnistan
0 - 2
Ilves


Bashkirov (43')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jukkola (87'), Akinyemi (90+4')
Veteli (82')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Gnistan and Ilves.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gnistan

All competitions
Last Game: Jaro 1-1 Gnistan
Saturday, May 24 at 1pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Ilves

All competitions
Last Game: Ilves 0-0 Oulu
Saturday, May 24 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Gnistan had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Gnistan win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.

Result
GnistanDrawIlves
36.71% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)24.94% (0.13 0.13)38.34% (-0.13999999999999 -0.14)
Both teams to score 57.95% (-0.473 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.6% (-0.61 -0.61)45.4% (0.609 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.26% (-0.585 -0.59)67.74% (0.583 0.58)
Gnistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.69% (-0.277 -0.28)24.3% (0.275 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.31% (-0.392 -0.39)58.68% (0.39 0.39)
Ilves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.56% (-0.34399999999999 -0.34)23.44% (0.343 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.56% (-0.502 -0.5)57.44% (0.501 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Gnistan 36.71%
    Ilves 38.34%
    Draw 24.94%
GnistanDrawIlves
2-1 @ 8.27%
1-0 @ 8.06% (0.145 0.15)
2-0 @ 5.7% (0.057 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.9% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.69% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.95% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 36.71%
1-1 @ 11.69% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.7% (0.147 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.94%
1-2 @ 8.48% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-1 @ 8.26% (0.131 0.13)
0-2 @ 6% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.1% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.05% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 38.34%

Head to Head
Sep 1, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 22
Gnistan
1-1
Ilves
Heiskanen (62')
Ojala (57'), Aijala (71'), Raitala (80')
Akinyemi (78')
Jukkola (26'), Pikkarainen (38'), Arifi (43'), Atanga (82')
Apr 13, 2024 12pm
Gameweek 2
Ilves
4-6
Gnistan
Riski (36', 81'), Jukkola (40'), Arifi (66')
Popovits (23'), Miettunen (78'), Ala-Myllymaki (83')
Latonen (60', 73', 79'), Katajamaki (68'), Tatar (85', 90+5')
Penninkangas (5'), Aijala (52'), Kabashi (74'), Tatar (86')