Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 5
May 2, 2025 at 4pm UK
Hietalahden jalkapallostadion

VPS
1 - 0
Ilves

Fleuriau Chateau (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Vaisanen (41'), Stjopin (84')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Vaasan Palloseura and Ilves.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vaasan Palloseura

All competitions
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 3-1 VPS
Saturday, April 26 at 5pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Ilves

All competitions
Last Game: Mariehamn 3-2 Ilves
Sunday, April 27 at 4.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.84%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 2-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Vaasan PalloseuraDrawIlves
35.75% (0.215 0.21)24.4% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)39.85% (-0.207 -0.21)
Both teams to score 59.83% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.06% (0.061 0.06)42.94% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.66% (0.061999999999998 0.06)65.34% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)
Vaasan Palloseura Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.3% (0.149 0.15)23.7% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.18% (0.211 0.21)57.82% (-0.209 -0.21)
Ilves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.41% (-0.071999999999989 -0.07)21.59% (0.074000000000002 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.31% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)54.69% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Vaasan Palloseura 35.75%
    Ilves 39.85%
    Draw 24.4%
Vaasan PalloseuraDrawIlves
2-1 @ 8.13% (0.029 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.37% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.31% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.9% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.55% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 35.75%
1-1 @ 11.29% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.23% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.12% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.4%
1-2 @ 8.65% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.84% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.01% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.42% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 3.07% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.69% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.18% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 39.85%

Head to Head
Oct 4, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 4
VPS
0-2
Ilves

Haukioja (83')
Veteli (48'), Soderback (90+4')
Jul 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 16
Ilves
3-2
VPS
Haarala (10'), Veteli (76' pen.), Popovits (90')
Pikkarainen (45+2'), Jukkola (62')
Virtanen (13')
Hytonen (34', 45')
Raisanen (59'), Ahiabu (67'), Vetri (75')
Jun 7, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 10
VPS
1-1
Ilves
Borchers (41')
Ahiabu (44')
Arifi (73')
Veteli (35')
Jul 28, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 17
Ilves
0-2
VPS

N'Diaye (45'), Parfitt-Williams (61'), Aspegren (90'), Ala-Myllymaki (90+1')
Mohammed (65')
Maenpaa (11' og.), Bashkirov (15')
Pitkanen (10'), Pikkarainen (61')
May 26, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 9
VPS
0-2
Ilves
Haarala (75'), Jukkola (88')
N'Diaye (77')