Equatorial Guinea national football team
Friendlies 3 | 2nd Leg
Jun 6, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stade de Marrakech
Gambia national football team

Eq Guinea
1 - 2
Gambia

FT(HT: 1-2)
Sidibeh (7', 45+2' pen.)
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Equatorial Guinea and Gambia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions
Last Game: Namibia 1-1 Eq Guinea
Monday, March 24 at 12pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Gambia

All competitions
Last Game: Ivory Coast 1-0 Gambia
Monday, March 24 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 49.15%. A draw has a probability of 29.2% and a win for Gambia has a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win is 1-0 with a probability of 16.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (13.22%), while for a Gambia win it is 0-1 (9.85%).

Result
Equatorial GuineaDrawGambia
49.15% (-0.878 -0.88)29.15% (0.458 0.46)21.7% (0.423 0.42)
Both teams to score 37.88% (-0.557 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.95% (-0.954 -0.95)67.05% (0.95700000000001 0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.7% (-0.647 -0.65)85.3% (0.65000000000001 0.65)
Equatorial Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.15% (-0.893 -0.89)27.85% (0.896 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.55% (-1.158 -1.16)63.45% (1.163 1.16)
Gambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.5% (-0.121 -0.12)47.5% (0.125 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.14% (-0.089000000000002 -0.09)82.86% (0.092999999999989 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Equatorial Guinea 49.14%
    Gambia 21.7%
    Draw 29.13%
Equatorial GuineaDrawGambia
1-0 @ 16.91% (0.17 0.17)
2-0 @ 10.8% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 8.05% (-0.153 -0.15)
3-0 @ 4.61% (-0.191 -0.19)
3-1 @ 3.43% (-0.154 -0.15)
4-0 @ 1.47% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.28% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 49.14%
0-0 @ 13.22% (0.46 0.46)
1-1 @ 12.58% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 3% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 29.13%
0-1 @ 9.85% (0.309 0.31)
1-2 @ 4.69% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.67% (0.102 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.16%
0-3 @ 0.91% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 21.7%