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World Cup

Gambia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 20, 2025 at 7pm UK
Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara (Abidjan)
Kenya national football team

Gambia
3 - 3
Kenya

Barrow (55', 84'), Minteh (61')
Sinyan (5'), Colley (38'), Jarju (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Olunga (69' pen.), Omar Ali Bajaber (75'), Wilson (90+6')
(67'), Omar Ali Bajaber (67'), Wilson (80')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Gambia and Kenya.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gambia

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Tunisia 0-1 Gambia
Monday, November 18 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Kenya

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Tanzania 0-2 Kenya
Tuesday, January 7 at 4pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gambia win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Kenya had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Kenya win was 0-1 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
GambiaDrawKenya
38.68% (0.00099999999999767 0)28.16% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)33.16% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 47.05% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.95% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)59.05% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)79.51% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Gambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.37% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)29.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.33% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)65.66% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Kenya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)33.14% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)69.74% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    Gambia 38.68%
    Kenya 33.16%
    Draw 28.16%
GambiaDrawKenya
1-0 @ 11.94%
2-1 @ 8.02%
2-0 @ 7.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.25%
3-0 @ 2.95%
3-2 @ 1.8%
4-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 38.68%
1-1 @ 13.19%
0-0 @ 9.82%
2-2 @ 4.43%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.16%
0-1 @ 10.84%
1-2 @ 7.28%
0-2 @ 5.99%
1-3 @ 2.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.2%
2-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 33.16%

How you voted: Gambia vs Kenya

Gambia
29.4%
Draw
35.3%
Kenya
35.3%
17
rhs 2.0
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