World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 20, 2025 at 7pm UK
Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara (Abidjan)
Gambia3 - 3Kenya
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Gambia and Kenya.
Form, Standings, Stats
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Tunisia 0-1 Gambia
Monday, November 18 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Monday, November 18 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Gambia | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gambia win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Kenya had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Kenya win was 0-1 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gambia | Draw | Kenya |
38.68% ( 0) | 28.16% ( -0) | 33.16% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 47.05% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
