Friendlies 3 | 2nd Leg
Jun 5, 2025 at 1pm UK
Tseung Kwan O Sports Ground
Nepal national football team

Hong Kong
vs.
Nepal

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Hong Kong and Nepal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nepal

Last Game: Singapore 0-1 Nepal
Friday, March 21 at 12.30pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hong Kong win with a probability of 67.6%. A draw has a probability of 18.9% and a win for Nepal has a probability of 13.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Nepal win it is 0-1 (4.11%).

Result
Hong KongDrawNepal
67.6% (-0.613 -0.61)18.92% (0.206 0.21)13.47% (0.401 0.4)
Both teams to score 51.07% (0.46 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.54% (0.011999999999993 0.01)41.46% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02)63.85% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Hong Kong Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.7% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)11.29% (0.155 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.08% (-0.345 -0.34)35.92% (0.34 0.34)
Nepal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.58% (0.619 0.62)42.42% (-0.624 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.2% (0.527 0.53)78.8% (-0.53299999999999 -0.53)
Score Analysis
    Hong Kong 67.59%
    Nepal 13.47%
    Draw 18.92%
Hong KongDrawNepal
2-0 @ 11.39% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-0 @ 10.44% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 8.28% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-1 @ 7.1% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 4.52% (-0.119 -0.12)
4-1 @ 3.87% (-0.035 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.044 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.97% (-0.065 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.69% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.66% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 67.59%
1-1 @ 8.96% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 4.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.19% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 18.92%
0-1 @ 4.11% (0.066 0.07)
1-2 @ 3.84% (0.103 0.1)
0-2 @ 1.76% (0.058 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.2% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.1% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 13.47%

Who will win Thursday's friendly clash between Hong Kong and Nepal?

Hong Kong
Draw
Nepal
Hong Kong
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Nepal
0.0%
0
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!