Tajikistan national football team
Friendlies 3
Nov 13, 2024 at 1pm UK
Respublikanskiy Stadion im. M.V. Frunze
Nepal national football team

Tajikistan
4 - 0
Nepal

Mabatshoev (19', 45'), Dzhalilov (29', 50')
Safarov (45+4'), Shukurov (90+2')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Chand (45+4'), Panday (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between Tajikistan and Nepal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tajikistan

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Philippines 0-0 Tajikistan (0-0 pen.)
Sunday, September 8 at 9.30am in International Friendlies

Nepal

Last Game: Yemen 2-2 Nepal
Tuesday, June 11 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tajikistan win with a probability of 67.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Nepal had a probability of 12.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tajikistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.18%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Nepal win it was 0-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tajikistan would win this match.

Result
TajikistanDrawNepal
67.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)20.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)12.57% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Both teams to score 44.27% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.81% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)49.18% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.75% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)71.25% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Tajikistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)13.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.07% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)40.93% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Nepal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.29% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)48.7% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.26% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)83.74% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Tajikistan 67.21%
    Nepal 12.57%
    Draw 20.22%
TajikistanDrawNepal
1-0 @ 13.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 13.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 8.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 6.28% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 4.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 3.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 1.73%
5-1 @ 1.24%
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 67.21%
1-1 @ 9.54% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 6.67% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 3.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 20.22%
0-1 @ 4.8% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 3.43% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-2 @ 1.73%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 12.57%

How you voted: Tajikistan vs Nepal

Tajikistan
64.7%
Draw
23.5%
Nepal
11.8%
34
rhs 2.0
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