Lebanon national football team
Friendlies 3
Sep 4, 2024 at 9.30am UK
Stadium Nasional Bukit Jalil
Tajikistan national football team

Lebanon
1 - 0
Tajikistan

Ayoub (13')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between Lebanon and Tajikistan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lebanon

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Lebanon 4-0 Bangladesh
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Tajikistan

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Tajikistan 3-0 Pakistan
Tuesday, June 11 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lebanon win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Tajikistan had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lebanon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Tajikistan win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lebanon in this match.

Result
LebanonDrawTajikistan
42.98% (0.16399999999999 0.16)26.28% (-0.265 -0.27)30.73% (0.099999999999998 0.1)
Both teams to score 51.91% (0.863 0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.48% (1.09 1.09)52.52% (-1.089 -1.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.81% (0.925 0.93)74.19% (-0.926 -0.93)
Lebanon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.76% (0.566 0.57)24.24% (-0.567 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.4% (0.794 0.79)58.6% (-0.795 -0.8)
Tajikistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.52% (0.63 0.63)31.47% (-0.632 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.14% (0.722 0.72)67.86% (-0.723 -0.72)
Score Analysis
    Lebanon 42.98%
    Tajikistan 30.73%
    Draw 26.27%
LebanonDrawTajikistan
1-0 @ 10.81% (-0.29 -0.29)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.064 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.66% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.18% (0.097 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.62% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.42% (0.097 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.48% (0.058 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.28% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 42.98%
1-1 @ 12.49% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 7.63% (-0.335 -0.34)
2-2 @ 5.12% (0.124 0.12)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 8.82% (-0.229 -0.23)
1-2 @ 7.23% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.1% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.78% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.97% (0.082 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.97% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 30.73%

How you voted: Lebanon vs Tajikistan

Lebanon
42.4%
Draw
9.1%
Tajikistan
48.5%
33
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2024 3pm
Group Stage
Tajikistan
2-1
Lebanon
Umarbaev (80'), Khamrokulov (90+2')
Jurabaev (27'), Panshanbe (90+7'), Khayloev (90+12')
Jradi (47')
Matar (77'), Al Zain (90+4')
Al Zein (56')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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