World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Jun 11, 2024 at 4pm UK

Respublikanskiy Stadion im. M.V. Frunze

Tajikistan
3 - 0
Pakistan

Mabatshoev (35'), Safarov (65'), Hanonov (70')
Samiev (45+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Saddam (6'), Umar Hayat (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Tajikistan and Pakistan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tajikistan

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Jordan 3-0 Tajikistan
Thursday, June 6 at 6.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Qatar	3	5	9
2	Tajikistan	3	0	4
3	China	3	-1	2
4	Lebanon	3	-4	1

Pakistan

Last Game: Pakistan 0-3 Saudi Arabia
Thursday, June 6 at 4.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tajikistan win with a probability of 86.17%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for Pakistan had a probability of 3.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tajikistan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.47%) and 4-0 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.71%), while for a Pakistan win it was 0-1 (1.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tajikistan would win this match.

Result
Tajikistan	Draw	Pakistan
86.17% ( 0.01)	9.94% ( -0)	3.89% ( -0)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Tajikistan	Draw	Pakistan
2-0 @ 13.68% 3-0 @ 13.47% 4-0 @ 9.95% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.27% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.96% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.85% 5-0 @ 5.88% ( 0) 4-1 @ 5.06% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.99% ( 0) 6-0 @ 2.89% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.74% 6-1 @ 1.47% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0) 7-0 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 3.47% Total : 86.16%	1-1 @ 4.71% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.14% ( -0) 2-2 @ 1.77% ( -0) Other @ 0.33% Total : 9.94%	0-1 @ 1.6% ( -0) 1-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.1% Total : 3.89%