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World Cup

Nepal national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Jun 6, 2024 at 5pm UK
Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium
United Arab Emirates national football team

Nepal
0 - 4
UAE


Tamang (57')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Abdalla (12', 14'), Saleh (53'), Mohammad (75')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Second Round clash between Nepal and United Arab Emirates.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nepal

Last Game: Bahrain 3-0 Nepal
Tuesday, March 26 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

United Arab Emirates

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Yemen 0-3 UAE
Tuesday, March 26 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 80.53%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Nepal had a probability of 5.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.44%) and 0-1 (11.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.36%), while for a Nepal win it was 1-0 (2.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that United Arab Emirates would win this match.

Result
NepalDrawUnited Arab Emirates
5.96% (0.115 0.12)13.51% (0.676 0.68)80.53% (-0.79499999999999 -0.79)
Both teams to score 38.86% (-1.842 -1.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.58% (-2.858 -2.86)40.42% (2.854 2.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.2% (-3.004 -3)62.79% (2.999 3)
Nepal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.2% (-1.623 -1.62)57.8% (1.618 1.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.51% (-0.914 -0.91)89.48% (0.90899999999999 0.91)
United Arab Emirates Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.09% (-0.80000000000001 -0.8)7.9% (0.795 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.04% (-2.063 -2.06)27.96% (2.058 2.06)
Score Analysis
    Nepal 5.96%
    United Arab Emirates 80.52%
    Draw 13.51%
NepalDrawUnited Arab Emirates
1-0 @ 2.5% (0.202 0.2)
2-1 @ 1.74% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 5.96%
1-1 @ 6.36% (0.268 0.27)
0-0 @ 4.57% (0.575 0.58)
2-2 @ 2.21% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 13.51%
0-2 @ 14.71% (0.76 0.76)
0-3 @ 12.44% (0.14 0.14)
0-1 @ 11.59% (1.04 1.04)
1-2 @ 8.06% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-4 @ 7.9% (-0.235 -0.23)
1-3 @ 6.82% (-0.271 -0.27)
1-4 @ 4.33% (-0.359 -0.36)
0-5 @ 4.01% (-0.292 -0.29)
1-5 @ 2.2% (-0.282 -0.28)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.175 -0.18)
0-6 @ 1.7% (-0.199 -0.2)
2-4 @ 1.19% (-0.166 -0.17)
1-6 @ 0.93% (-0.163 -0.16)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 80.52%

How you voted: Nepal vs UAE

Nepal
20.0%
Draw
0.0%
United Arab Emirates
80.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 16, 2023 3.45pm
Second Round
UAE
4-0
Nepal
Alhammadi (11'), Mabkhout (36' pen., 44'), Lima (45+1')

Shrestha (35'), Chaudhary (47')
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