Friendlies 3

Nov 19, 2024 at 12pm UK

Sham Shui Po Sports Ground

Hong Kong
1 - 0
Mauritius

Camargo (11')
Fernando (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pascal Colin (38'), Ferre (63')
Pascal Colin (42')

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Hong Kong and Mauritius.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mauritius

Last Game: Mauritius 0-2 Syria
Friday, September 6 at 1am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hong Kong win with a probability of 66.33%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Mauritius had a probability of 12.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.53%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Mauritius win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hong Kong in this match.

Result
Hong Kong	Draw	Mauritius
66.33% ( -1.41)	20.96% ( 0.51)	12.71% ( 0.9)

Both teams to score 42.51% (

1.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.18% (

-0.04)

51.82% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.42% (

-0.03)

73.58% (

0.03)

Hong Kong Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.19% (

-0.46)

14.81% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.9% (

-0.88)

43.1% (

0.87)

Mauritius Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.91% (

1.51)

50.09% (

-1.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.28% (

1.02)

84.72% (

-1.02)

Score Analysis

Hong Kong 66.32%

Mauritius 12.71%

Draw 20.96%

Hong Kong	Draw	Mauritius
1-0 @ 14.16% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 13.53% ( -0.42) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.42) 3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.27) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.13) 5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.06% Total : 66.32%	1-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.52% Total : 20.96%	0-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.42% Total : 12.71%