World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 6, 2024 at 5pm UK

28 March Stadium

Libya
2 - 1
Mauritius

Al Badri (20' pen.), Ekrawa (40')
Bin Ali (32'), Mukhtar Al Shremi (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Bru (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Libya and Mauritius, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Libya

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Togo 1-1 Libya
Tuesday, March 26 at 10pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	3	7
2	Libya	3	3	6
3	Rwanda	3	0	4
4	Equatorial Guinea	3	-6	0

Mauritius

Last Game: Mauritius 1-2 Chad
Tuesday, March 26 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Libya win with a probability of 68.88%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Mauritius had a probability of 10.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Libya win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.67%) and 3-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.25%), while for a Mauritius win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Libya would win this match.

Result
Libya	Draw	Mauritius
68.88% ( 0.35)	20.99% ( -0.17)	10.13% ( -0.18)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Liverpool	38	25	9	4	86	41	45	84
2	Arsenal	38	20	14	4	69	34	35	74
3	Manchester City Man City	38	21	8	9	72	44	28	71
4	Chelsea	38	20	9	9	64	43	21	69
5	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	20	6	12	68	47	21	66
6	Aston Villa	38	19	9	10	58	51	7	66
7	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	38	19	8	11	58	46	12	65
8	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	16	13	9	66	59	7	61
9	Bournemouth	38	15	11	12	58	46	12	56
10	Brentford	38	16	8	14	66	57	9	56
11	Fulham	38	15	9	14	54	54	0	54
12	Crystal Palace	38	13	14	11	51	51	0	53
13	Everton	38	11	15	12	42	44	-2	48
14	West Ham United West Ham	38	11	10	17	46	62	-16	43
15	Manchester United Man Utd	38	11	9	18	44	54	-10	42
16	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	12	6	20	54	69	-15	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	11	5	22	64	65	-1	38
R	Leicester City Leicester	38	6	7	25	33	80	-47	25
R	Ipswich Town Ipswich	38	4	10	24	36	82	-46	22
R	Southampton	38	2	6	30	26	86	-60	12
					> Premier League Full Table

Libya	Draw	Mauritius
1-0 @ 17.02% 2-0 @ 15.67% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 68.88%	0-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.05) 1-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.27% Total : 20.99%	0-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.31% Total : 10.13%