MX23RW : Friday, January 12 23:36:36| >> :600:544582:544582:
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World Cup
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 17, 2023 at 1pm UK
Mbombela Stadium
Libya national football team
Eswatini
0 - 1
Libya
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kraouaa (53')
Al Khoja (39')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Eswatini and Libya, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Eswatini

Last Game: Botswana 2-1 Eswatini
Monday, October 16 at 3pm in International Friendlies

Libya

All competitions
Last Game: Libya 1-1 Niger
Tuesday, October 17 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies

We said: Eswatini X-Y Libya

 Libya have put together a fine run of form heading into the qualifiers and will fancy their chances against an Eswatini side who have lost their last four competitive home games. We predict a cagey affair at the Mbombela Stadium, with the Mediterranean Knights claiming a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Libya win with a probability of 41.94%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 28.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Libya win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.41%) and 1-2 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.25%), while for a Eswatini win it was 1-0 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Libya in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Libya.

Result
EswatiniDrawLibya
28.97% (-0.319 -0.32) 29.09% (-0.223 -0.22) 41.94% (0.542 0.54)
Both teams to score 43.17% (0.423 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.79% (0.593 0.59)63.21% (-0.59399999999999 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.38% (0.425 0.43)82.62% (-0.42700000000001 -0.43)
Eswatini Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.49% (0.072000000000003 0.07)38.51% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.74% (0.070999999999998 0.07)75.26% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)
Libya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.2% (0.60600000000001 0.61)29.79% (-0.607 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.13% (0.726 0.73)65.87% (-0.72699999999999 -0.73)
Score Analysis
    Eswatini 28.96%
    Libya 41.93%
    Draw 29.08%
EswatiniDrawLibya
1-0 @ 10.94% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-1 @ 6.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.22% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-1 @ 2.01% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 1.66% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.22% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 28.96%
1-1 @ 13.25% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 11.47% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-2 @ 3.83% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 29.08%
0-1 @ 13.89% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 8.41% (0.096 0.1)
1-2 @ 8.03% (0.107 0.11)
0-3 @ 3.4% (0.095 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.24% (0.096 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.55% (0.049 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.046 0.05)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 41.93%

How you voted: Eswatini vs Libya

Eswatini
21.1%
Draw
23.7%
Libya
55.3%
38
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