

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 71.15%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 13.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.2%) and 3-1 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.68%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 71.15% ( | 15.81% ( | 13.03% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.07% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.93% ( | 27.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.43% ( | 47.57% ( |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.23% ( | 6.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 75.01% ( | 24.99% |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.58% ( | 33.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.95% ( | 70.05% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Hoffenheim |
| 2-1 @ 8.99% 2-0 @ 8.2% 3-1 @ 8.07% 3-0 @ 7.36% ( 1-0 @ 6.09% 4-1 @ 5.43% 4-0 @ 4.96% 3-2 @ 4.42% 4-2 @ 2.98% 5-1 @ 2.93% 5-0 @ 2.67% 5-2 @ 1.6% 6-1 @ 1.31% 6-0 @ 1.2% 4-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.85% Total : 71.15% | 1-1 @ 6.68% 2-2 @ 4.93% 0-0 @ 2.26% 3-3 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 0.34% Total : 15.81% | 1-2 @ 3.66% 0-1 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0-2 @ 1.36% 1-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.4% Total : 13.03% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 99 | 32 | 67 | 82 |
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 69 |
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 60 |
| 4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 57 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 55 |
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 52 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 51 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 51 |
| 9 | Stuttgart | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 64 | 53 | 11 | 50 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 45 |
| 11 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 43 |
| 12 | Augsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 43 |
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 40 |
| 14 | St Pauli | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 32 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 29 |
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 49 | 80 | -31 | 25 |
| 18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 25 |
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