Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 37

May 18, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
3 - 1
AC Milan

Mancini (3'), Paredes (58'), Cristante (87')
Mancini (25'), Cristante (45'), Celik (61')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Felix (39')
Jimenez (62'), Tomori (90'), Tomori (90')
Gimenez (21'), Conceicao (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Last Game: Atalanta 2-1 Roma
Monday, May 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: AC Milan 0-1 Bologna
Wednesday, May 14 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	AC Milan
46.28% ( 0.54)	24.83% ( 0.01)	28.89% ( -0.56)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Napoli	38	24	10	4	59	27	32	82
2	Inter Milan	38	24	9	5	79	35	44	81
3	Atalanta BC Atalanta	38	22	8	8	78	37	41	74
4	Juventus	38	18	16	4	58	35	23	70
5	Roma	38	20	9	9	56	35	21	69
6	Fiorentina	38	19	8	11	60	41	19	65
7	Lazio	38	18	11	9	61	49	12	65
8	AC Milan	38	18	9	11	61	43	18	63
9	Bologna	38	16	14	8	57	47	10	62
10	Como	38	13	10	15	49	52	-3	49
11	Torino	38	10	14	14	39	45	-6	44
12	Udinese	38	12	8	18	41	56	-15	44
13	Genoa	38	10	13	15	37	49	-12	43
14	Hellas Verona Hellas Verona	38	10	7	21	34	66	-32	37
15	Cagliari Cagliari	38	9	9	20	40	56	-16	36
16	Parma	38	7	15	16	44	58	-14	36
17	Lecce	38	8	10	20	27	58	-31	34
18	Empoli	38	6	13	19	33	59	-26	31
19	Venezia Venezia	38	5	14	19	32	56	-24	29
R	Monza	38	3	9	26	28	69	-41	18
					> Serie A Full Table

Roma	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 46.28%	1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.83%	0-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.16% Total : 28.89%

Serie A

Roma3 - 1AC Milan

The Match

Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

AC Milan

Data Analysis

How you voted: Roma vs AC Milan

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Roma
3 - 1
AC Milan