We said: Roma 1-0 Juventus
Juventus (17) and Roma (18) have conceded the fewest goals from open play in Serie A so far, and they played out a 0-0 draw in this season's reverse fixture. So, one moment of magic - or madness - could decide a contest between two well-matched teams.
Given their new-found resilience, the Giallorossi can edge to an eighth league win on the spin, taking them level on points with their once-distant rivals.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 48.17%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 26.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
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