Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 29

Mar 16, 2025 at 5pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
3 - 0
Juventus

Gosens (15'), Mandragora (18'), Gudmundsson (53')
Mari (13'), Ranieri (73')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Locatelli (45+1'), Weah (73'), Thuram (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 3-1 Panathinaikos
Thursday, March 13 at 8pm in Conference League

Goals
for

Juventus

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Juventus 0-4 Atalanta
Sunday, March 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Juventus
38.71% ( 0.21)	26.88% ( -0.09)	34.4% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 51.12% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.96% (

0.33)

54.04% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.52% (

0.28)

75.47% (

-0.28)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.8% (

0.27)

27.2% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.39% (

0.36)

62.61% (

-0.36)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.21% (

0.08)

29.78% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.14% (

0.1)

65.85% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 38.71%

Juventus 34.4%

Draw 26.88%

Fiorentina	Draw	Juventus
1-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.06% Total : 38.71%	1-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.88%	0-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.74% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 34.4%