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Serie A header desktop

Serie A

Fiorentina logo
Serie A | Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Juventus logo

Fiorentina
3 - 0
Juventus

Gosens (15'), Mandragora (18'), Gudmundsson (53')
Mari (13'), Ranieri (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Locatelli (45+1'), Weah (73'), Thuram (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 3-1 Panathinaikos
Thursday, March 13 at 8pm in Conference League

Juventus

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 0-4 Atalanta
Sunday, March 9 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawJuventus
38.71% (0.211 0.21)26.88% (-0.09 -0.09)34.4% (-0.127 -0.13)
Both teams to score 51.12% (0.255 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.96% (0.333 0.33)54.04% (-0.338 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.52% (0.279 0.28)75.47% (-0.28400000000001 -0.28)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.8% (0.274 0.27)27.2% (-0.279 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.39% (0.359 0.36)62.61% (-0.36499999999999 -0.36)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.21% (0.081999999999994 0.08)29.78% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.14% (0.101 0.1)65.85% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 38.71%
    Juventus 34.4%
    Draw 26.88%
FiorentinaDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 10.54% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.32% (0.042 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.87% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.61% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.98% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.18% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 38.71%
1-1 @ 12.77% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.1% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.88%
0-1 @ 9.81% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 5.94% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.4% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 34.4%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Juventus

Fiorentina
24.7%
Draw
40.3%
Juventus
35.1%
77
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Miretti (10')
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> Preview
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Rabiot (34')
> Preview
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Kouame (29')
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> Preview