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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 63.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 15.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.29%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Juventus | Draw | Empoli | 
| 63.1% (  -0.02) | 21.8% (  -0.13) | 15.1% (  0.15) | 
| Both teams to score 46.02% (  0.7) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 49.56% (  0.76) | 50.43% (  -0.76) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 27.63% (  0.67) | 72.37% (  -0.67) | 
| Juventus Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 84.6% (  0.25) | 15.39% (  -0.25) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.8% (  0.47) | 44.19% (  -0.46) | 
| Empoli Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 54.39% (  0.67) | 45.6% (  -0.66) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.59% (  0.52) | 81.41% (  -0.52) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Juventus | Draw | Empoli | 
| 1-0 @ 13.13% (  -0.29) 2-0 @ 12.29% (  -0.16) 2-1 @ 9.65% (  0.05) 3-0 @ 7.67% (  -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.02% (  0.08) 4-0 @ 3.59% (  0.01) 4-1 @ 2.82% (  0.06) 3-2 @ 2.36% (  0.08) 5-0 @ 1.34% (  0.02) 4-2 @ 1.11% (  0.05) 5-1 @ 1.05% (  0.03) Other @ 2.07% Total : 63.09% | 1-1 @ 10.31% (  -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.02% (  -0.22) 2-2 @ 3.79% (  0.09) Other @ 0.68% Total : 21.8% | 0-1 @ 5.51% (  -0.07) 1-2 @ 4.05% (  0.06) 0-2 @ 2.16% (  0.01) 1-3 @ 1.06% (  0.04) 2-3 @ 0.99% (  0.04) Other @ 1.32% Total : 15.1% |