Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 42.89%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.79%) and 2-1 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Lecce |
| 42.89% ( | 29.4% ( | 27.7% ( |
| Both teams to score 41.76% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.36% ( | 64.64% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.36% ( | 83.63% ( |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.03% ( | 29.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.92% ( | 66.08% ( |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.63% ( | 40.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.01% ( | 76.99% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Empoli | Draw | Lecce |
| 1-0 @ 14.57% ( 2-0 @ 8.79% ( 2-1 @ 7.97% ( 3-0 @ 3.53% ( 3-1 @ 3.2% 3-2 @ 1.45% ( 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.35% Total : 42.88% | 1-1 @ 13.22% 0-0 @ 12.09% ( 2-2 @ 3.61% ( Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.39% | 0-1 @ 10.97% 1-2 @ 6% ( 0-2 @ 4.98% ( 1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0-3 @ 1.51% ( 2-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 1.34% Total : 27.69% |