Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 11, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Empoli1 - 3Lecce
We said: Empoli 2-1 Lecce
Neither side carries much momentum into this encounter, with Empoli struggling at home and Lecce enduring similar difficulties on their travels. Given the lack of form from both sides, a closely contested match is expected, though Empoli are more likely to have the edge, having won three of the last five meetings between the sides at the Castellani. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 42.89%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.79%) and 2-1 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Lecce |
42.89% ( -0.03) | 29.4% ( -0.01) | 27.7% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 41.76% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
