Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 54.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 21.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.