Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Spezia in this match.