The two teams played out a 1-1 draw when they locked horns at the home of Cagliari earlier this season, and we can see the same result in this match. The league table shows that there is hardly anything to choose between them, and we are expecting this semi-final to be incredibly tight across the two legs.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cagliari win with a probability of 46.93%. A win for Parma has a probability of 26.55% and a draw has a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Parma win is 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.54%).
