

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Parma had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Parma | 
| 39.79% | 25.99% | 34.22% | 
| Both teams to score 54% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 49.65% | 50.35% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 27.71% | 72.29% | 
| Cagliari Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.09% | 24.91% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.47% | 59.53% | 
| Parma Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.91% | 28.08% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.25% | 63.75% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Cagliari | Draw | Parma | 
| 1-0 @ 9.72% 2-1 @ 8.58% 2-0 @ 6.76% 3-1 @ 3.98% 3-0 @ 3.13% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.62% Total : 39.79% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 6.99% 2-2 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 8.88% 1-2 @ 7.84% 0-2 @ 5.64% 1-3 @ 3.32% 0-3 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.22% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 | 
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 | 
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 | 
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 | 
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 | 
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 | 
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 | 
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 | 
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 | 
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 | 
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 | 
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 | 
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 | 
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 | 
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 | 
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 | 
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 | 
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 | 
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 | 
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 | 
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
