Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Parma had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Parma |
39.79% | 25.99% | 34.22% |
Both teams to score 54% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.65% | 50.35% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.71% | 72.29% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.09% | 24.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.47% | 59.53% |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.91% | 28.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.25% | 63.75% |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | Parma |
1-0 @ 9.72% 2-1 @ 8.58% 2-0 @ 6.76% 3-1 @ 3.98% 3-0 @ 3.13% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.62% Total : 39.79% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 6.99% 2-2 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 8.88% 1-2 @ 7.84% 0-2 @ 5.64% 1-3 @ 3.32% 0-3 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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