Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Instituto had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Instituto win was 1-0 (11.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.