Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Platense win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Platense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 0-1 (11.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.