Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for Estudiantes had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Estudiantes win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.