Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 42.52%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Colon had a probability of 27.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.72%) and 2-1 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.25%), while for a Colon win it was 0-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Instituto in this match.