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Serie A | Gameweek 34
Apr 23, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Spezia Calcio logo
Torino
2 - 1
Spezia
Lukic (4' pen., 69')
Bremer (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Manaj (90+7' pen.)
Erlic (3'), Nikolaou (24')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Torino and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 0-3 Roma
Friday, May 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Torino 1-1 Spezia

Pitching together two of the lowest-scoring teams outside the bottom three, this fixture is surely bound for a close-fought draw. Even though Spezia are the team to have faced the most shots in Serie A this season, timid Torino have landed only a league-low 97 on target themselves, so a goalfest is not on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 59.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 18.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.

Result
TorinoDrawSpezia
59.19%22.06%18.74%
Both teams to score 52.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.48%45.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.15%67.85%
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.99%15.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.52%43.48%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.87%38.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.11%74.89%
Score Analysis
    Torino 59.19%
    Spezia 18.74%
    Draw 22.06%
TorinoDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 10.85%
2-0 @ 10.29%
2-1 @ 9.92%
3-0 @ 6.51%
3-1 @ 6.27%
4-0 @ 3.08%
3-2 @ 3.02%
4-1 @ 2.97%
4-2 @ 1.43%
5-0 @ 1.17%
5-1 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 59.19%
1-1 @ 10.46%
0-0 @ 5.72%
2-2 @ 4.78%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.06%
0-1 @ 5.52%
1-2 @ 5.05%
0-2 @ 2.66%
1-3 @ 1.62%
2-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 18.74%

How you voted: Torino vs Spezia

Torino
67.9%
Draw
21.4%
Spezia
10.7%
28
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2021 2pm
Spezia
1-0
Torino
Sala (58')
Amian (65'), Nikolaou (76'), Kovalenko (89')

Rincon (38'), Linetty (52'), Sanabria (76')
May 15, 2021 2pm
Spezia
4-1
Torino
Saponara (19'), N'Zola (41' pen., 74'), Erlic (84')
Agudelo (28'), Pobega (33'), Farias (80')
Belotti (54' pen.)
Vojvoda (32'), Rincon (57'), Buongiorno (78'), Bremer (83'), Verdi (90+1')
Jan 16, 2021 5pm
Torino
0-0
Spezia

Buongiorno (34'), Lyanco (61'), Linetty (89')

Pobega (17'), Verde (59'), Marchizza (76'), Gyasi (84')
Vignali (8')
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli36275473264786
2Inter Milan372231270422869
3Lazio36208855282768
4AC Milan361810860421864
5Atalanta BCAtalanta371871261461561
6Roma371791148371160
7Juventus36216955322359
8Fiorentina371411125042853
9Torino371411124240253
10Monza361410124646052
11Bologna361311124845350
12Udinese371113134747046
13SassuoloSassuolo37129164658-1245
14Empoli361012143646-1042
15Salernitana37915134860-1242
16Lecce36712173043-1333
17SpeziaSpezia37613183060-3031
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3679202955-2630
19Cremonese36412203266-3424
RSampdoria37310242469-4519

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