

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 43.01%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spezia | Draw | Torino |
| 31.74% | 25.25% | 43.01% |
| Both teams to score 55.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.18% | 47.82% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30% | 70% |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.57% | 28.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.82% | 64.18% |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.81% | 22.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.41% | 55.59% |
| Score Analysis |
| Spezia | Draw | Torino |
| 1-0 @ 7.93% 2-1 @ 7.51% 2-0 @ 4.99% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 2.37% 3-0 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.7% Total : 31.74% | 1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.31% 2-2 @ 5.66% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 9.5% 1-2 @ 8.99% 0-2 @ 7.15% 1-3 @ 4.51% 0-3 @ 3.59% 2-3 @ 2.84% 1-4 @ 1.7% 0-4 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.32% Total : 43.01% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 36 | 27 | 5 | 4 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 86 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 3 | Lazio | 36 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 55 | 28 | 27 | 68 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 60 | 42 | 18 | 64 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 36 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 55 | 32 | 23 | 59 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 9 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 46 | 46 | 0 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 50 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 42 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 33 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 55 | -26 | 30 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 36 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 32 | 66 | -34 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
