Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | Spezia |
| 42.15% | 25.22% | 32.63% |
| Both teams to score 56.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.61% | 47.38% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.4% | 69.6% |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.59% | 22.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.07% | 55.92% |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.36% | 27.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.82% | 63.18% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sampdoria | Draw | Spezia |
| 1-0 @ 9.26% 2-1 @ 8.91% 2-0 @ 6.93% 3-1 @ 4.44% 3-0 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 2.86% 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.29% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.28% Total : 42.15% | 1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 6.19% 2-2 @ 5.73% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 7.96% 1-2 @ 7.66% 0-2 @ 5.12% 1-3 @ 3.28% 2-3 @ 2.46% 0-3 @ 2.2% 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.89% Total : 32.63% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 30 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 66 | 21 | 45 | 75 |
| 2 | Lazio | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 49 | 21 | 28 | 61 |
| 3 | Juventus | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 47 | 25 | 22 | 59 |
| 4 | Roma | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 56 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 53 |
| 6 | Inter Milan | 30 | 16 | 3 | 11 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 51 |
| 7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 49 |
| 8 | Bologna | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 44 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 42 |
| 10 | Torino | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 42 |
| 11 | SassuoloSassuolo | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 40 |
| 12 | Udinese | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 39 |
| 13 | Monza | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 | Salernitana | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 33 |
| 15 | Empoli | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 32 |
| 16 | Lecce | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 28 |
| 17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 26 | 44 | -18 | 26 |
| 18 | SpeziaSpezia | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 26 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 30 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 27 | 54 | -27 | 19 |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 51 | -32 | 16 |
| > Full Version | |||||||||
