Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.
Result | ||
Sassuolo | Draw | Sampdoria |
43.9% | 24.06% | 32.04% |
Both teams to score 59.96% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.7% | 42.3% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.29% | 64.71% |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.52% | 19.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.65% | 51.35% |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.46% | 25.53% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.6% | 60.39% |
Score Analysis |
Sassuolo | Draw | Sampdoria |
2-1 @ 9.09% 1-0 @ 8.14% 2-0 @ 6.66% 3-1 @ 4.95% 3-0 @ 3.63% 3-2 @ 3.38% 4-1 @ 2.03% 4-0 @ 1.48% 4-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.17% Total : 43.9% | 1-1 @ 11.1% 2-2 @ 6.2% 0-0 @ 4.97% 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.05% | 1-2 @ 7.58% 0-1 @ 6.79% 0-2 @ 4.64% 1-3 @ 3.45% 2-3 @ 2.82% 0-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 1.18% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.51% Total : 32.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Napoli | 36 | 27 | 5 | 4 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 86 |
2 | Lazio | 36 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 55 | 28 | 27 | 68 |
3 | Inter Milan | 36 | 21 | 3 | 12 | 67 | 40 | 27 | 66 |
4 | AC Milan | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 60 | 42 | 18 | 64 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 61 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Juventus | 36 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 55 | 32 | 23 | 59 |
8 | Monza | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 46 | 46 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Fiorentina | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 50 |
10 | Bologna | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 50 |
11 | Torino | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 50 |
12 | Udinese | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 45 | 44 | 1 | 46 |
13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 44 |
14 | Empoli | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 42 |
15 | Salernitana | 36 | 8 | 15 | 13 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 39 |
16 | Lecce | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 33 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 36 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 55 | -26 | 30 |
19 | Cremonese | 36 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 32 | 66 | -34 | 24 |
R | Sampdoria | 36 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 22 | 67 | -45 | 18 |
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