Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | Hellas Verona | 
| 36.14% | 26.08% | 37.78% | 
| Both teams to score 53.94% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 49.46% | 50.54% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 27.54% | 72.46% | 
| Sampdoria Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 72.97% | 27.02% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.62% | 62.38% | 
| Hellas Verona Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.91% | 26.08% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.86% | 61.13% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Sampdoria | Draw | Hellas Verona | 
| 1-0 @ 9.22% 2-1 @ 8.11% 2-0 @ 6.03% 3-1 @ 3.54% 3-0 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.07% Total : 36.14% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.05% 2-2 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 9.47% 1-2 @ 8.33% 0-2 @ 6.37% 1-3 @ 3.73% 0-3 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.44% 1-4 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.38% Total : 37.78% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 27 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 64 | 16 | 48 | 71 | 
| 2 | Lazio | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 52 | 
| 3 | Inter Milan | 27 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 47 | 31 | 16 | 50 | 
| 4 | AC Milan | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 48 | 
| 5 | Roma | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 47 | 
| 6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 45 | 
| 7 | Juventus | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 45 | 22 | 23 | 41 | 
| 8 | Udinese | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 38 | 
| 9 | Fiorentina | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 | 
| 10 | Bologna | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 37 | 
| 11 | Torino | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 37 | 
| 12 | SassuoloSassuolo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 36 | 
| 13 | Monza | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 34 | 
| 14 | Empoli | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 28 | 
| 15 | Salernitana | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 27 | 
| 16 | Lecce | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 | 
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 24 | 
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 19 | 
| 19 | Sampdoria | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 44 | -28 | 15 | 
| 20 | Cremonese | 27 | 1 | 10 | 16 | 22 | 49 | -27 | 13 | 
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