Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Sporting Cristal win was 1-0 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.