Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.