Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Metropolitanos had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Metropolitanos win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.