Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 46.09%. A win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Kolos Kovalivka win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vorskla Poltava would win this match.