Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chornomorets Odesa win with a probability of 37.39%. A win for Rukh Lviv had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chornomorets Odesa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Rukh Lviv win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.