Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.49%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 22.42% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.86%) and 1-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
