Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 67%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Crystal Palace Under-21s had a probability of 15.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8%) and 1-3 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.35%), while for a Crystal Palace Under-21s win it was 2-1 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.