MX23RW : Saturday, May 6 15:56:58| >> :60:13:13:
Bayern logo
DFB-Pokal | Quarter-Finals
Apr 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Arena
Freiburg logo
Bayern
1 - 2
Freiburg
Upamecano (19')
Upamecano (83'), Mane (90+2'), Musiala (90+3'), Pavard (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hofler (27'), Holer (90+5' pen.)
Gregoritsch (36'), Sildillia (61')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Bayern Munich and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 4-2 Dortmund
Saturday, April 1 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, April 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 3-0 Freiburg

Bayern appeared to be back to their dominant best against Dortmund, with Tuchel's superior experience compared to his predecessor potentially set to take them over the line on both domestic fronts. Freiburg have been pushed to the limit by their exertions in three competitions this season, and they have struggled to turn draws into victories of late, but they are unlikely to get close to having the chance to achieve that on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 67.06%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 15.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 3-1 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawFreiburg
67.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 17.52%15.41% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Both teams to score 61.88% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.87%30.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.66% (0.0010000000000048 0)51.34% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.66% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)8.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.94% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)29.06% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)32.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.99% (0.0039999999999978 0)69.01% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 67.06%
    Freiburg 15.41%
    Draw 17.52%
Bayern MunichDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 9.4%
2-0 @ 8.36% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 7.78%
3-0 @ 6.92% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 6.73%
4-1 @ 4.83% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 4.38%
4-0 @ 4.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 2.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.4%
5-0 @ 2.14%
5-2 @ 1.35%
4-3 @ 1.02%
6-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 67.06%
1-1 @ 7.57%
2-2 @ 5.28%
0-0 @ 2.71%
3-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 17.52%
1-2 @ 4.25%
0-1 @ 3.05%
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 1.71% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 15.41%

How you voted: Bayern vs Freiburg

Bayern Munich
92.6%
Draw
4.9%
Freiburg
2.5%
81
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2022 6.30pm
Apr 2, 2022 2.30pm
Freiburg
1-4
Bayern
Petersen (63')
Gunter (70')
Goretzka (58'), Gnabry (73'), Coman (82'), Sabitzer (90+6')
Upamecano (90+3')
Nov 6, 2021 2.30pm
May 15, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-2
Bayern
Gulde (29'), Gunter (81')
Sallai (17')
Lewandowski (26' pen.), Sane (53')
Davies (87'), Alaba (90')
Jan 17, 2021 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City33254487305779
2Arsenal34246481394278
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331811461273465
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd3319684940963
5Liverpool34178966422459
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32167962402255
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs34166126357654
8Aston Villa34166124642454
9Brentford34121485244850
10Fulham34136154546-145
11Crystal Palace341010143545-1040
12Chelsea33109143138-739
13Bournemouth34116173664-2839
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34107172950-2137
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham3497183750-1334
16Leicester CityLeicester3486204659-1330
17Leeds UnitedLeeds3479184367-2430
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479183062-3230
19Everton34611172752-2529
20Southampton3466222860-3224

Ted Lasso creative

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!