

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 53.42%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 23.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 2-1 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 23.69% ( | 22.88% ( | 53.42% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.15% ( | 42.84% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.75% ( | 65.25% ( |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.19% ( | 31.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.75% ( | 68.25% ( |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.97% ( | 16.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.64% ( | 45.36% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Edinburgh City | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 2-1 @ 6.12% ( 1-0 @ 5.84% ( 2-0 @ 3.34% ( 3-1 @ 2.34% ( 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 3-0 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 2.64% Total : 23.69% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0-0 @ 5.1% ( 3-3 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.88% | 1-2 @ 9.79% ( 0-1 @ 9.33% ( 0-2 @ 8.55% ( 1-3 @ 5.98% ( 0-3 @ 5.22% ( 2-3 @ 3.42% ( 1-4 @ 2.74% ( 0-4 @ 2.39% ( 2-4 @ 1.57% ( 1-5 @ 1% ( Other @ 3.45% Total : 53.42% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 23 | 12 | 1 | 63 | 21 | 42 | 81 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 67 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 82 | 51 | 31 | 60 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 57 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 59 | 59 | 0 | 54 |
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 51 |
| 7 | Montrose | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 48 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 40 |
| 9 | Clyde | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 24 |
| R | PeterheadPeterhead | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 19 | 84 | -65 | 16 |
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