Although Umraniyespor have been poor for the vast majority of the season, they have shown fight in recent weeks, picking up decent results against Sivasspor and Istanbul Basaksehir.
That said, Er's side have struggled at home, and Ankaragucu have managed to dig out draws in two of their last three league games, so it is likely the spoils are shared on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ankaragucu win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Umraniyespor had a probability of 37.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ankaragucu win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Umraniyespor win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ankaragucu in this match.
0.04) 
-0.01) 
