

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 60.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 18.11%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 0-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Edinburgh City |
| 60.44% ( | 21.44% ( | 18.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.46% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.23% ( | 43.77% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.84% ( | 66.16% ( |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.96% ( | 14.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.39% ( | 41.61% ( |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.19% ( | 37.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.42% ( | 74.58% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Edinburgh City |
| 1-0 @ 10.42% ( 2-0 @ 10.23% ( 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 3-0 @ 6.7% ( 3-1 @ 6.51% ( 4-0 @ 3.29% ( 4-1 @ 3.2% ( 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 4-2 @ 1.55% ( 5-0 @ 1.29% ( 5-1 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 2.88% Total : 60.44% | 1-1 @ 10.13% ( 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 2-2 @ 4.84% ( 3-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.44% | 0-1 @ 5.16% ( 1-2 @ 4.93% ( 0-2 @ 2.51% ( 1-3 @ 1.6% ( 2-3 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 2.34% Total : 18.11% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 23 | 12 | 1 | 63 | 21 | 42 | 81 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 67 |
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 82 | 51 | 31 | 60 |
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 47 | 9 | 57 |
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 59 | 59 | 0 | 54 |
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 51 |
| 7 | Montrose | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 48 |
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 54 | -15 | 40 |
| 9 | Clyde | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 68 | -33 | 24 |
| R | PeterheadPeterhead | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 19 | 84 | -65 | 16 |
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