Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 54.18%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 23.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Airdrieonians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Montrose | 
| 54.18% (  -0.01) | 22.26% | 23.57% (  0.01) | 
| Both teams to score 59.28% (  0.01) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 59.89% (  0.01) | 40.11% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 37.53% (  0.01) | 62.48% (  -0.01) | 
| Airdrieonians Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 85.2% (  -0) | 14.8% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.92% (  -0) | 43.08% | 
| Montrose Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 69.58% (  0.02) | 30.42% (  -0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.38% (  0.02) | 66.63% (  -0.02) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Airdrieonians | Draw | Montrose | 
| 2-1 @ 9.78% (  -0) 1-0 @ 8.6% (  -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.22% (  -0) 3-1 @ 6.23% (  -0) 3-0 @ 5.23% (  -0) 3-2 @ 3.71% (  0) 4-1 @ 2.97% 4-0 @ 2.5% (  -0) 4-2 @ 1.77% (  0) 5-1 @ 1.14% 5-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.08% Total : 54.18% | 1-1 @ 10.23% 2-2 @ 5.82% (  0) 0-0 @ 4.5% (  -0) 3-3 @ 1.47% (  0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.25% | 1-2 @ 6.09% (  0) 0-1 @ 5.36% 0-2 @ 3.19% (  0) 1-3 @ 2.42% (  0) 2-3 @ 2.31% (  0) 0-3 @ 1.27% (  0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 23.57% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 31 | 19 | 11 | 1 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 68 | 
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 58 | 32 | 26 | 57 | 
| 3 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 74 | 44 | 30 | 55 | 
| 4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 51 | 
| 5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 50 | 49 | 1 | 48 | 
| 6 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 54 | 46 | 8 | 47 | 
| 7 | Montrose | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 42 | 
| 8 | Kelty Hearts | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 36 | 
| 9 | Clyde | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 17 | 
| 10 | PeterheadPeterhead | 31 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 15 | 74 | -59 | 15 | 
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