Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 57.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 20.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Lokomotiv Moscow win it was 1-0 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.