

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 60.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 18.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.78%) and 0-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Emmen win it was 2-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Emmen | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 18.54% ( | 21.14% ( | 60.32% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.3% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.28% ( | 41.72% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.88% ( | 64.12% ( |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.87% ( | 36.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.09% ( | 72.9% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.58% ( | 13.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.63% ( | 40.36% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Emmen | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 5.05% ( 1-0 @ 4.93% ( 2-0 @ 2.51% ( 3-2 @ 1.72% ( 3-1 @ 1.71% ( Other @ 2.61% Total : 18.54% | 1-1 @ 9.91% ( 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0-0 @ 4.85% ( 3-3 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.14% | 1-2 @ 9.96% ( 0-2 @ 9.78% ( 0-1 @ 9.74% ( 1-3 @ 6.67% ( 0-3 @ 6.55% ( 2-3 @ 3.39% ( 1-4 @ 3.35% ( 0-4 @ 3.29% ( 2-4 @ 1.7% ( 1-5 @ 1.35% ( 0-5 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 3.24% Total : 60.32% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Feyenoord | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 81 | 30 | 51 | 82 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 40 | 49 | 75 |
| 3 | Ajax | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 86 | 38 | 48 | 69 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 67 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 66 | 27 | 39 | 64 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 59 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 54 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 46 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 41 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 40 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 39 |
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 36 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 42 | 71 | -29 | 36 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 32 | 71 | -39 | 32 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 |
| R | Cambuur | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 26 | 69 | -43 | 19 |
| R | Groningen | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 75 | -44 | 18 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
