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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 75.01%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Emmen had a probability of 9.33%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.02%) and 1-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a Emmen win it was 0-1 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
Result | ||
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Emmen |
75.01% (![]() | 15.65% (![]() | 9.33% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.31% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.36% (![]() | 37.64% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.12% (![]() | 59.87% (![]() |
AZ Alkmaar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.51% (![]() | 8.49% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.57% (![]() | 29.43% (![]() |
Emmen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.79% (![]() | 47.2% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.36% | 82.64% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Emmen |
2-0 @ 12.18% 3-0 @ 10.02% 1-0 @ 9.88% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.15% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.52% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 6.18% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.64% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.82% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.29% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.74% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.25% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 3.34% Total : 75% | 1-1 @ 7.42% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.01% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.43% ( ![]() Other @ 0.79% Total : 15.65% | 0-1 @ 3.01% (![]() 1-2 @ 2.79% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 2.41% Total : 9.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Feyenoord | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 81 | 30 | 51 | 82 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 40 | 49 | 75 |
3 | Ajax | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 86 | 38 | 48 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 67 |
5 | FC Twente | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 66 | 27 | 39 | 64 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 59 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 54 |
8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 46 |
9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 41 |
10 | Vitesse | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 40 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 40 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 39 |
13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 36 |
14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 42 | 71 | -29 | 36 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 32 | 71 | -39 | 32 |
16 | EmmenEmmen | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 |
R | Cambuur | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 26 | 69 | -43 | 19 |
R | Groningen | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 75 | -44 | 18 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |