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AZ Alkmaar
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FC Volendam
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Vitesse
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 27
Apr 1, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
Heerenveen
AZ
1 - 1
Heerenveen
Mous (75' og.)
Karlsson (41'), Clasie (52'), Reijnders (79'), van Brederode (90'), Mihailovic (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-1)
van Hooijdonk (5')
Kaib (85'), Nunnely (86')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 Heerenveen

AZ and Heerenveen have had little problem finding the back of the net in recent weeks and we expect both teams to register at least once here. That said, AZ boast more quality all over the pitch and we are backing them to emerge triumphant in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 18.85%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawHeerenveen
59.73% (-1.249 -1.25) 21.42% (0.128 0.13) 18.85% (1.121 1.12)
Both teams to score 54.93% (1.718 1.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.51% (1.233 1.23)42.49% (-1.232 -1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.1% (1.218 1.22)64.9% (-1.218 -1.22)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.16% (0.01700000000001 0.02)13.84% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.78% (0.034999999999997 0.03)41.22% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.76% (1.983 1.98)36.24% (-1.981 -1.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.97% (1.959 1.96)73.03% (-1.958 -1.96)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 59.73%
    Heerenveen 18.85%
    Draw 21.41%
AZ AlkmaarDrawHeerenveen
2-1 @ 9.96% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.92% (-0.539 -0.54)
2-0 @ 9.81% (-0.531 -0.53)
3-1 @ 6.56% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.47% (-0.349 -0.35)
3-2 @ 3.33% (0.179 0.18)
4-1 @ 3.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.2% (-0.171 -0.17)
4-2 @ 1.65% (0.089 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.28% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.26% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 59.73%
1-1 @ 10.06%
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.268 0.27)
0-0 @ 5.02% (-0.281 -0.28)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.41%
1-2 @ 5.11% (0.268 0.27)
0-1 @ 5.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 2.58% (0.134 0.13)
1-3 @ 1.73% (0.176 0.18)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.176 0.18)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 18.85%

How you voted: AZ vs Heerenveen

AZ Alkmaar
78.1%
Draw
12.5%
Heerenveen
9.4%
32
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 5.45pm
May 22, 2022 1.30pm
AZ
2-0
Heerenveen
De Wit (5'), Aboukhlal (88')
Pavlidis (24'), Milos (41'), Martins Indi (45+1'), Aboukhlal (89')
May 19, 2022 5.45pm
Heerenveen
3-2
AZ
Van Hooijdonk (58'), Sarr (90'), Halilovic (90+4')
van Hooijdonk (4'), van Ewijk (20'), Haye (68')
Evjen (59'), Pavlidis (65')
Karlsson (79')
Apr 23, 2022 5.45pm
AZ
2-1
Heerenveen
Karlsson (44'), Reijnders (87')
Clasie (13')
Sarr (7')
Zaal (84'), Mulder (85')
Aug 29, 2021 3.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CFeyenoord33257181295282
2PSV EindhovenPSV33226587394872
3Ajax33209485355069
4AZ AlkmaarAZ33207667333467
5FC Twente331710663263761
6Sparta RotterdamSparta33168955371856
7FC UtrechtUtrecht33149105248451
8Heerenveen331110124250-843
9RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk33118145060-1041
10Go Ahead Eagles331010134654-840
11NECNijmegen33814114144-338
12Vitesse33910144450-637
13Fortuna SittardSittard33105183861-2335
14FC VolendamVolendam3396183969-3033
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior3395193068-3832
16EmmenEmmen33610173162-3128
RGroningen3346233170-3918
RCambuur3344252269-4716

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